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26 Apr 2013

BoJ sees Japan's economy returning to moderate recovery around mid-2013

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The BoJ has released its semiannual Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices on Friday in which it suggested that Japan´s gradual economic recovery should begin around mid-2013.

The central bank remarked however that there were downside risks to economic activity such as uncertainty regarding developments in overseas economies or a decline of confidence in fiscal sustainability in the medium to long-term.

The BoJ said that in comparison with the previous January 2013 forecast for the period through fiscal 2014, growth rates were projected to be higher “mainly due to the introduction of quantitative and qualitative monetary easing, an improvement in financial market conditions, and an increase in public investment.”

As far as inflation is concerned, the BoJ saw Japan´s core inflation at 1.4% in the fiscal year 2014 (versus 0.9% forecasted in January) and at 1.9% in fiscal year 2015. CPI excluding fresh food was projected at 3.4% in fiscal 2014 (versus 2.9% in January) and at 2.6% in fiscal 2015.

Finally the BoJ assured that it would “continue with quantitative and qualitative monetary easing, aiming to achieve the price stability target of 2 percent, as long as it is necessary for maintaining
that target in a stable manner.”
Apr 26, 2013

Forex: USD/CHF off lows after German, BoJ and Swiss data

The USD/CHF is stuck under a narrow range and trading lower on Friday, but has rebounded from its lows towards the opening price once German import prices data and BoJ outlook reports were published. The pair rose from 0.9424 low to 0.9446. The market is quiet at 0.9436 after Switzerland KOF leading indicator that rose from 1 (revised higher from 0.99) to 1.02 in April, beating 0.98 consensus.
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Apr 26, 2013

Switzerland: KOF Leading Indicator at 1.02 in April

The Swiss KOF Leading Indicator rose to 1.02 in April, from 1 in March, according to data released today by the Konjunkturforschungsstelle Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research. Analysts expected a drop to 0.98.
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