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10 Feb 2013

Forex Flash: EUR/USD, 20DMA points at further losses; break of $1.32 exposes 2c slide - BBH

The issue to keep an eye on early this week, according to Marc Chandler. Head of Currency Strategy at BBH, "is whether recent price action represents a correction to the recent trend, a reversal or the start of a new trend."

Marc adds: "After reviewing the technical conditions, we continue to conclude the price action is corrective in nature, but the price action, especially in the second half of the week, warns that the correction may be extended in the coming days."

When looking at EUR/USD in particular, "the poor close before the weekend, which includes two successive closes below the 20-day moving average for the first time in three months, indicates additional near-term losses are likely" he says.

Marc suspects that "a break of $1.3350 - held on Friday - could spur a move toward $1.3220-$1.3270 as trend line support and retracement objectives are cluttered in that area." However, he recognizes that "a convincing break of $1.32 exposes another two cent slide." Only above $1.3400-50 "would improve the technical tone and suggest the correction is over" he concludes.
Feb 8, 2013

Forex: EUR/USD closes below 1.3400; Time for weakness?

Europhoria is gone. The dark mode around the euro following the Draghi’s press conference on Thursday continues to weight on the EUR/USD, dragging the single currency to the region of 1.3350, and trading in consolidation mode around 1.3365.
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Feb 11, 2013

Forex: USD/JPY slips below 92.50

With China and Japan closed both today on bank holiday, USD/JPY is currently at 92.50, off recent session lows at 92.35, down -0.15% from previous weekly close Friday. As Sean Lee says, founder at FXWW, Yen strengthen on Friday's late Asian/early London session, on “comments from the Japanese FinMin. There were various interpretations of what he said,” the analyst adds, “but whatever the exact wording was, Yen shorts covered fairly aggressively as they are worried that the upcoming G20 might censure Japan for its aggressive stance,” he concludes.
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