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30 Dec 2019
Natixis SA: EU and China need more expansionary fiscal policy - Bloomberg
Monetary policy has been less effective in buttressing growth by itself, especially in the European Union and China. As a result, these nations need a more expansionary fiscal policy, said Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis SA.
Key quotes
China’s issuance to grow as the budget gap widens from 7.9% this year to 9% of GDP.
One drawback of fiscal expansion is its upward pressure on interest rates.
China announced CNY 2 trillion worth of tax cuts this year spurred provinces to boost infrastructure spending. Even so, the economy grew an underwhelming 6% in the third quarter to register its weakest rate in at least 27 years.
With the swelling deficit, the nation has little room to provide a "flood-like" stimulus.