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3 May 2018

USD/CHF: US Dollar bulls are positioning ahead of NFP

  • The non-farm payroll will be the high-impact event scheduled at the end of the week.
  • The USD/CHF bull trend is intact as bulls are trading just below parity.

The USD/CHF is trading at around 0.9987 virtually unchanged in Thursday's trading. Back on Wednesday the Federal Reserve Bank lefts it target rate for overnight deposit with commercial banks unchanged, as it was widely expected. The FOMC statement revealed that the inflation is picking up and that the Fed is reaching its 2% inflation target that justifies the monetary policy rate normalization. 

The next moving market event will be the non-farm payroll and more importantly the wage growth which are both scheduled for Friday for 12:30 GMT. 

Coming up next is the speech of the chairman of the governing board of the Swiss National Bank. The title of the speech is: "This is Why the Vollgeld Initiative Harms Switzerland" at the Swiss Institute for Banking and Finance, in Zurich. It is scheduled at 16:00 GMT this Thursday. Recently Jordan talked down the franc by saying that it was still “still highly valued” as it was a “welcome relief for the economy”. The SNB is not planning to tighten interest rates as “negative rates and interventions are still essential.” However, today's speech will lean towards education rather than monetary policy. 

The Swiss franc bulls tested the parity level earlier in the US session. They also did so on Wednesday after the release of the FOMC statement.

USD/CHF daily chart 

The trend is bullish and the key psychological resistance is the 1.0000, parity level. After which bulls will set their eyes on the 1.0038 swing high and 1.0345 cyclical high. Support is seen at the 0.9900 demand level and 0.9800 figure. 
 

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