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17 Nov 2017

US Dollar looks fragile around 93.70

  • DXY gains still capped near 94.00.
  • Sentiment around USD remains weak.
  • US politics keep weighing on the buck.

The greenback, measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), remains entrenched into the negative ground at the end of the week, retreating to the 93.75/70 band after a failed attempt to retake the 94.00 mark.

US Dollar rebound halted near 94.00

DXY remains unable to gather some convincing traction today and stays well on the way to close its second consecutive week with losses following the rejection from peaks beyond the critical 95.00 barrier.

USD started the day on the back footing after news agency WSJ reported that Special Counsel R.Muener issued a subpoena on Trump’s presidential campaign documents. The news not only hurt the buck, but also forced yields of the key US 10-year note to tumble to the sub-2.35% area.

Further news around the Dollar saw House Republican voted its tax reform bill late on Thursday, although any positives from this were eclipsed by the WSJ story.

Further steps on the US tax reform should see the Senate voting its proposal, while both bills should reconcile at a later stage and thus pave the way for its implementation at some point by year-end.

In addition, San Francisco Fed J.Williams said yesterday that a rate hike next month is ‘perfectly reasonable’, while Atlanta Fed R.Kaplan noted that diminishing unemployment should be a catalyst for extra tightening.

US Dollar relevant levels

As of writing the index is retreating 0.14% at 93.77 and a breakdown of 93.40 (low Nov.15) would open the door to 93.37 (55-day sma) and finally 93.06 (low Oct.19). On the other hand, the initial hurdle lines up at 93.99 (high Nov.16) seconded by 94.31 (10-day sma) and then 95.15 (high Nov.7).

Nov 17, 2017

US stocks weaker as investors assess Russian probe and US tax reform plan

   •  Russian probe weigh on investors’ sentiment.    •  Prospects for tax reforms hold the key. Major US equity indices witnessed a weaker opening
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Nov 17, 2017

USD/CAD short-term hurdle aligns at 1.2780/1.2820 – Scotiabank

FX Strategist at Scotiabank Eric Theoret noted the pair’s stance remains on the neutral side for the time being, while initial resistance is expected
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