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24 Oct 2017

AUD/USD tracks Kiwi lower, targets 0.7730 ahead of Aus CPI?

  • Sinks in tandem with NZD/USD
  • Ignores firmer copper prices
  • Aus CPI in focus

The bears extend their control in the European session, knocking-off AUD/USD deeper in the red below 5-DMA support of 0.7791, despite a rally in copper prices.

AUD/USD: Eyes on Aus CPI

Resurgent USD demand across the board on the back of rising treasury yields aggravates the selling pressure seen in Aussie so far this session. The USD index jumped to session tops of 93.80, turning positive on the day.

The sentiment around the buck continues to remain underpinned by increased odds of a Dec Fed rate hike and renewed optimism over Trump’s tax overhaul plans, especially after the GOP approved the 2018 Budget bill on Monday.

The major remains heavily offered, largely in response to the sell-off seen its OZ counterpart, NZD. The Kiwi suffered steep losses on the back of comments from the NZ PM designate Ardern, after she called for a review and reforms on the Reserve Bank Act.

All eyes now remain on the Australian CPI release due tomorrow in the Asian morning, with a solid reading to offer some respite to the AUD bulls. In the meantime, markets await the US flash manufacturing and services PMI reports for fresh trading opportunities in the near-term.         

AUD/USD Levels to consider                                                                              

Slobodan Drvenica at Windsor Brokers Pvt Ltd. noted: “Bearish daily techs are supportive, with formation of 20/100SMA bear-cross, additionally weighing on near-term action. Close below 0.7795 will be bearish signal for further easing through 0.7771 (Fibo 76.4%) towards 0.7732 target. Meanwhile, bears may take a breather ahead of 0.7732 as strongly oversold slow stochastic warns of correction. Initial resistance lies at 0.7824 (20/100 bear-cross/ session high) while daily cloud base (0.7848) is expected to cap extended upticks.”

Oct 24, 2017

NZD: Guided by the politics – RBC CM

NZD initially rallied above 0.70 after PM Ardern said she would raise the minimum wage, only to sell off sharply to 0.6936 after she reiterated she wo
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Oct 24, 2017

GBP/USD weakens further below 1.3200 handle

   •  Confronts fresh supply near 1.3230 area    •  Surging US bond yields weigh    •  UK GDP in focus The GBP/USD pair once again met with some fr
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