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31 May 2017

EUR/JPY flirting with lows, below 124.00 handle after EZ CPI

The EUR/JPY cross held stable below the 124.00 handle, albeit maintained its offered tone for the fourth consecutive session following the release of Euro-zone flash CPI print.

Currently trading around 123.85-80 level, just a few pips away from session low, the cross had a muted reaction to the preliminary release of composite Euro-zone CPI print for May that showed easing inflationary pressure. In fact, the flash CPI print now estimates the region's inflation to drop to 1.4% during May, down from previous month's 1.9% and worse than 1.5% expected.

Today's EZ inflation figures did little to provide any fresh impetus to the shared currency, with the prevalent market risk-sentiment benefitting the Japanese Yen's safe-haven appeal and acting as an exclusive driver of the pair's retracement from higher levels.

From a technical perspective, the cross has repeatedly managed to hold 123.65 horizontal level on daily closing basis. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow through selling pressure before confirming that a near-term top has been formed and the cross is susceptible to any near-term corrective slide.

Technical levels to watch

Weakness below 123.65 level might continue to find support near 123.10-12300 region, below which a fresh leg of downslide could drag the cross back towards its next support near mid-122.00s. On the flip side, 124.20-25 area now seems to have emerged as immediate resistance, which if cleared decisively has the potential to lift the cross back towards the key 125.00 psychological mark.

May 31, 2017

EUR/USD little changed around 1.1180 on softer EZ CPI

A rebound staged by the EUR/USD pair in early Europe lost legs once again just shy of 1.12 handle, and the rate now steadies near 1.1180 region, despi
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May 31, 2017

Latest IPSOS poll: Merkel's Conservatives maintain lead against Social Democrats

According to the latest IPSOS poll, Merkel's Conservatives are leading with 38% vs. the Social Democrats at 28%.
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