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5 May 2023

NZD/USD rebounds from 0.6280 after a corrective move, focus shifts to US NFP

  • NZD/USD has attempted recovery from 0.6280 as investors await US NFP for further action.
  • Fed confirmed after a 25bp interest rate hike that further policy action will be more data-dependent.
  • Investors dumped US equities as fears banking crisis overshadowed optimism built on neutral guidance delivered by the Fed.

The NZD/USD pair has shown a recovery move of around 0.6280 in the early Asian session. Earlier, the Kiwi asset dropped sharply after failing to hit the round-level resistance of 0.6300. The correction in the Kiwi asset came due to a recovery move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD index has moved higher after defending its crucial support of 101.43.

The USD Index has gained traction as the focus has shifted to the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell confirmed in the monetary policy statement after a 25 basis point (bp) interest rate hike that further policy action will be more data-dependent. US labor market conditions have broadly remained extremely tight, therefore, the NFP data holds significant importance as upbeat figures could force the Fed to reconsider its plan of pausing interest rate hikes from June.

According to the consensus, the US economy added 179K in April, lower than the former release of 236K. The Unemployment Rate is seen unchanged at 3.5%.

Meanwhile, S&P500 settled Thursday’s session on a negative note. A three consecutive bearish closing in S&P500 is indicating the poor risk appetite of the market participants. Investors dumped US equities as fears banking crisis inspired by consideration of strategic options for potential sale by PacWest Bancorp’s overshadowed optimism built on neutral guidance delivered by the Fed.

Also, a recovery in the USD Index provided some support to the US Treasury yields. The yields offered on 10-year US government bonds rebounded to near 3.38%.

On the New Zealand Dollar front, Caixin Services PMI (April) data will be keenly watched. The economic data is seen at 56.5 lower than the former release of 57.8. It is worth noting that New Zealand is one of the leading trading partners of China and weak Chinese service activity would impact the New Zealand Dollar.

 

 

May 5, 2023

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Key daily trendline support under pressure

USD/JPY is flat into the close in FX on Thursday´s US session after correcting back into the trendline resistance area as the following charts on the
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May 5, 2023

EUR/USD stays pressured around 1.1000 after Fed, ECB plays, US NFP eyed

EUR/USD holds lower grounds near 1.1010 after failing to cheer the comparatively hawkish European Central Bank (ECB) decision than the Federal Reserve
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